Method

Before you compare the numbers

Two impressive percentages may describe quite different things. One might count pupils, another their examination entries; one might include Pre-U, another only A levels. A useful comparison begins by noticing those differences. This page explains how we work through them.

Last reviewed .

A moustached reader pauses with his pencil hovering above the page, reconsidering a detail.

Three checks before drawing a conclusion

The same result

A-level grades, Pre-U grades and IB points come from different exams, marked on different scales. Our common comparison scale lets you follow them together, giving each subject entry equal weight. You can also read the school’s own headline and the original grades.

The same group

A percentage of subject entries is not a percentage of pupils. A university offer is not a place taken up.

The same years

Compare only years in which both schools have a usable figure. We never fill a gap or treat one as zero.

What is being counted?

One pupil usually takes several subjects. If a school reports that 60% of its A-level entries were graded A*, that is not 60% of its pupils. Every percentage is a share of some total; where the school doesn’t say what that total is, we say so.

What each group in a school’s figures counts
GroupWhat it counts
Candidates or pupilsPeople in the group the publication describes.
Exam entriesResults in individual subjects. One pupil usually has several.
ApplicationsApplications in one admissions round, counted by the school that sent them.
Offers or admissionsA university’s decision to offer or admit. On its own, it doesn’t show that the pupil took up the place.
Final destinationsPlaces reported as taken up by the leavers, or the entry-year group, described.

How different qualifications compare

A school’s history may cross several exam systems. To follow it across those changes, we apply the same published grade mapping to every school. For example, Pre-U D1–⁠D3 contributes to A-level A*–⁠A or equivalent. The original grades and the school’s own figures sit alongside our calculation. The mappings and their basis.

An A-level-only chart has a narrower purpose: it shows A-level results. If the school taught Pre-U instead, that chart may have a gap even where the common comparison continues.

Grading scales as schools publish them

A level

A level · A*–E

What the percentage counts: All A-level subject entries included in the publication

Each band includes the grades above it: A*, then A*–A, then A*–B. We show any wider band only if the school reported it.

A level

A level · A–E before A*

What the percentage counts: All A-level subject entries included in the publication

These results predate A*. We show the published A and A–B bands and any pass rate the source gives. If it does not define a pass, we leave that question open.

A level / IB Higher Level

A level / IB HL · the school’s combined figure

What the percentage counts: All grade entries included in the publisher’s combined total

The school has combined more than one qualification in this figure. We keep it separate from results for A levels alone.

GCSE / IGCSE

GCSE / IGCSE · 9–1

What the percentage counts: All subject entries graded on the numbered scale in the publication

Read grade 9 on its own, grades 9–8 together, or grades 9–7 together. Wider bands appear where the school published them.

GCSE

GCSE · numbered transition

What the percentage counts: The numbered-grade entries specified by the publisher

We show the numbered-grade bands printed by the source. If it does not give grade 9 separately, we do not estimate it.

GCSE / IGCSE

GCSE / IGCSE · A*–G

What the percentage counts: All subject entries included in the publication

Read A* on its own, A*–A together, or a wider band where the school reported one.

GCSE

GCSE · pre-A* scale

What the percentage counts: All GCSE entries included in the publication

These results predate A*. Westminster reported A and A–C, and those are the bands we show.

IB Higher Level

IB Higher Level

What the percentage counts: All IB Higher Level subject entries included in the publication

A percentage of Higher Level grades counts subject entries. The average Diploma score counts each pupil’s total points. We show these separately.

Cambridge Pre-U

Cambridge Pre-U

What the percentage counts: All Pre-U principal-subject entries included in the publication

D1–D3 and wider D1–M bands include different sets of Pre-U grades. In the original results they retain those labels, rather than being called A levels.

Qualifications combined by the publisher

The publisher’s combined grade bands

What the percentage counts: The total specified by the publisher

We use the source’s own wording. We do not yet have a complete account of how it combined the qualifications.

A level / Cambridge Pre-U

A level / Pre-U · the published combined figure

What the percentage counts: All entries included in the publisher’s combined total

This figure combines qualifications. It is shown separately from results for A levels alone or Pre-U alone.

GCSE / IGCSE

GCSE / IGCSE · the published combined figure

What the percentage counts: All entries included in the publisher’s combined total

The publisher combined grades from different scales in these bands. That does not make the grades interchangeable. Results using numbered grades alone are shown separately.

Qualification still unclear

Grade scale still unclear

What the percentage counts: We have not yet established the total used

We do not show a percentage as “top grades” while the qualification or grade band remains unclear.

Comparable figures across exam systems

The common scale brings together A levels, Cambridge Pre-U and IB Higher Level. It also connects the older lettered GCSE grades with numbered grades. Every school uses the same mapping, and each subject entry has equal weight. We label the result as our calculation and show the original grades and the school’s own headline alongside it.

Sixth form

Grades counted together on TSR’s comparison scale
A level or equivalentPre-U principal subjectIB Higher Level
A*D1, D27
AD36
BM1, M25
CM34
DP1, P23
EP3No grade assigned

Cambridge aligns Pre-U D3 with A and P3 with E, and describes D2 as equivalent to A* for most university offers. Our intermediate groupings are at or below the corresponding UCAS tariff bands. These choices give us a consistent, conservative scale. The qualifications still differ in what and how pupils study. Cambridge’s grading and tariff guide.

For IB Higher Level we follow the combined table published by King’s College School, Wimbledon: 7 counts as A*, 6 as A, 5 as B, 4 as C and 3 as D. This is the school’s convention, adopted consistently by TSR; the UCAS tariff agrees at 7 and 6 but scores a 5 like a C. Grades 2 and 1 still count in the entry total, without being assigned an A-level grade. We exclude IB Standard Level, Pre-U short courses and Global Perspectives and Research, AS levels and the EPQ.

GCSE

High grades combines A*–⁠A with 9–⁠7; C/4 or better combines A*–⁠C with 9–⁠4. These bands use Ofqual’s comparison points: the bottom of 7 aligns with A, and the bottom of 4 with C. Top grades combines A* with 9–⁠8 as a practical approximation. Grade 9 is shown separately, using only entries graded 9–⁠1. This gives readers useful comparisons without assigning invented numbered grades to old results.

Why grade 9 is not simply the old A*

Ofqual’s 2016 transition modelling, based on 15- and 16-year-olds’ results in summer 2014, gave 8.4% A* and 5.1% grade 9 across all GCSE subjects. The ratio, 5.1 ÷ 8.4, is about 60.7%: a comparison of modelled national totals, not the share of any school’s A*s that would become 9s. Subject results differed. Ofqual’s Table 1, pages 16–17, and the study’s population.

Grade 8 was set halfway between grades 7 and 9 in marks. Grades 5 and 6 divide the marks between 4 and 7 into equal intervals, and 2 and 3 do the same between 1 and 4. Equal mark intervals do not mean equal numbers of pupils or equal percentile intervals. The national model does not locate an exact old A* boundary within grade 8 for every subject, school or pupil. Ofqual’s explanation of grade 9.

C/4 or better is close to 100% at these schools, so it appears on school pages but isn’t offered first in comparisons.

Weighting

When a year mixes exam systems, the comparable figure is the number of entries at or above the band, across every system, divided by all the entries. We never average two percentages. In a year with one system, the comparable figure is the figure published for that system, at the precision it was printed. For some years, an editorial review selects a published result for a particular qualification. The explanation names that publication and the qualifications it covers, and links to the original records.

When a school printed only percentages

We recover the entry counts the percentages allow. If rounding leaves a little doubt we show the range, for example 82.7–⁠82.8%, rather than a decimal we can’t vouch for, and a comparison says whether its answer holds at both ends of the range. If the doubt is more than a point, or an exam system has no entry count, we cannot calculate a combined figure across those systems. A percentage from a selected single-qualification publication can be shown directly at its printed precision, without inventing counts. If neither the records nor an explained editorial choice tells us which qualifications a result covers, we leave that year out of comparisons.

What we don’t do

We don’t estimate how many A*s would have been 9s, spread a school’s grades across a scale it didn’t use, or claim more precision than the school printed. Results from before A* existed (A level before 2010, GCSE before 1994) keep their own scales. 2020 and 2021 were teacher-assessed years: their figures are shown but left out of comparisons unless you ask for them.

The headline, the calculation and the original grades

Each year’s detail identifies TSR’s comparable figure and the school’s own headline, and lets you inspect the original grades used in the calculation. The details show the grade band and qualification scope of the selected publication, together with any calculation used to place it on the common scale.

In a few years a school’s own tables don’t cover every exam system it entered. Where the government’s tables for that year are complete, the year’s details also show their figure, labelled as the Department for Education’s count of pupils completing A levels in England. It is never used in charts or comparisons.

Sources for these choices

The comparison uses method harm-v1, version 1.0.0, adopted on .

Why 2020 and 2021 are shown separately

In 2020 and 2021 exams were cancelled and grades were assessed by schools and teachers. We leave those years out of like-for-like comparisons by default; you can show them for context.

Offers, acceptances and destinations answer different questions

A table of university applications describes one admissions round. A school’s list of where leavers went describes one leaving year. The groups and dates can differ, so a count of offers can’t be set against a count of destinations.

University pages show the school publications that name each university. A mention on its own doesn’t tell you how many pupils went there, or how likely a future applicant is to get a place.

How the comparison is calculated

To calculate a yearly difference, we need two figures that count the same thing, on the same grading scale, for the same kind of group and the same year. If publications disagree, we leave the figure out until the evidence resolves the difference or an explained editorial choice identifies the publication to use. The rules for settling a difference explain the distinction. Charts and calculated rates use the figures as recorded and never replace the figures printed in the source.

The common scale connects grades across qualifications and years. It cannot turn one group or outcome into another: offers, for example, remain separate from places taken up. The labels make those differences visible.

Compare’s verdict checks every range of at least three comparable years measured the same way. Its additional checks show the full series, the latest three and five years, and each year left out in turn. Test a claim lets you require at least three or five comparable years, and checks every range that meets that requirement. Both show how far an answer depends on the years chosen. Neither is a test of statistical significance or a probability, and neither shows that teaching caused the results.

How we word verdicts

A verdict is our judgement on a comparison, so it is never stronger than the figures behind it. It rests on two things: the typical gap (the middle of the yearly gaps, in percentage points) and how many of the tested year ranges point the same way. A verdict always names the years it covers, and never calls one school better.

The verdicts a comparison can give, and when each applies
VerdictWhen we give it
No verdict (the figures only)Fewer than 3 shared years. We list each year’s figures and say which school was higher in each.
Depends on the yearsAt least 25% of the year ranges we test point the other way. A year range is a run of at least 3 shared years measured the same way; we test every one.
Too close to callThe typical gap (the median of the yearly gaps) is under 1 percentage point.
Holds up, narrowlyA typical gap of 1 to under 3 points, with at least 75% of year ranges agreeing.
Holds upA typical gap of 3 points or more, with at least 90% of year ranges agreeing.
Holds up, mostlyA typical gap of 3 points or more, with 75% to under 90% of year ranges agreeing.
MixedNone of the above, usually because many year ranges are tied.
Points the other wayTest a claim only: the typical gap favours the other school.
Depends on the schools’ roundingComparable figures known only as a range: the verdict at one end of the schools’ rounding differs from the verdict at the other, so we give neither.

The point thresholds apply to percentages; for counts, such as offers, only the number of years and how consistently the ranges agree decide the verdict. An “every year” claim holds only if the school was higher in every year we can compare. Scale adopted .

Reading percentages and gaps

A change from 50% to 55% is 5 percentage points; in sentences we write “points”. The typical gap is the middle of the yearly gaps. It is not a combined rate across all pupils or entries in the period.

A published range keeps both ends. Wording such as “over two-thirds” keeps its limit, and an estimate stays labelled as one. We don’t turn them into exact figures for a comparison.

When figures are missing or disagree

The trail may begin in a results table, a school magazine, an annual report or a university’s own statistics. We keep the source and its definition with each figure. A document can cover many years; the check beside a figure says how far we have followed it.

Missing years

A gap invites a question. Have we yet to find the result? Is the archive unavailable? Or did the school publish something that answers a different question? The school profile explains what we know. An unsuccessful search does not tell us that a result was never published.

When publications disagree

First results, revised results and figures for different groups stay separate and named. Counts we made from a published list are kept apart from totals the publisher printed.

Since , a difference between two publications is settled only when one of the rules below is met. Each settlement is dated and shown in the revision log of the figures it affects, and earlier versions stay visible. A newer page or a more precise number doesn’t settle a difference on its own.

Sometimes an editorial review chooses a particular published version for a comparison. We record the figure, the qualifications it covers, who approved the choice and when. That is our choice of source; it does not mean the publisher has revised its earlier figures.

How a difference between publications is settled
OutcomeWhen it appliesWhat we do
Revised by the school
  • The same publisher issued both versions, for example both signed by the school’s Examinations Officer.
  • Both versions count the same entries, or, where the version the school labels final counts different entries, every added or removed entry is identified row by row.
  • The changed cells are identified by comparing the versions row by row.
  • The later version is the one the school now links or labels as final.
The record shows the current version. The earlier version stays in the revision log with its date and link, and the corrections page records the change.
Consistent at the published precision
  • The less precise figure equals the more precise figure rounded half up to the same number of decimal places.
  • Where a table prints its grade counts, the exact share from those counts is used, so a rounded figure is never rounded twice.
  • Truncation, or any other convention, does not qualify.
Not a disagreement. Both figures stay visible and the more precise one is used.
Different groups counted
  • The figures count different populations, for example A-level entries alone and A-level plus Pre-U entries.
  • The difference is established by the publication’s own label, or by reproducing each figure exactly, at its printed precision, from the school’s separate tables.
Both figures are shown, each labelled with what it counts. Only a figure that matches a measure’s definition enters that measure’s comparison.
Sources differ
  • None of the three rules above is met.
Every version stays visible. The year is left out of comparisons for that measure, and the reason is stated.

What can change a figure or its label

A headline can be labelled as an A-level result while counting Pre-U or IB grades as well. A figure’s value or label changes only on positive evidence: the school’s own re-issued table, the publication’s own wording, or an exact reproduction from the school’s own tables. Not finding a source online is never evidence that a figure is wrong or mislabelled. Many figures come from archived prospectuses, magazines and documents that are no longer online, and they stay as recorded. A figure shown to count a different group keeps its place in the record with its own label.

Corrections and earlier versions

Automated checks flag possible errors; they never change a figure. A correction needs a source and an explanation, and the earlier value stays visible.

Check a figure · Corrections and differing figures

What these figures can’t tell you

Published results can help you question a claim and understand a school’s academic record. They can’t tell you whether a school is right for a particular child, or predict that child’s results or admission.

They don’t allow for prior attainment, how selective a school’s admission is, subject choices, the make-up of a year group or a school’s aims. So they can’t isolate the quality of teaching, or rank schools overall.

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